Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Völsungur · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Völsungur are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Ægir are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Völsungur hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (34.9 v 24.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.0% in the 1. Deild, while Völsungur holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Völsungur
Probability
56.0%
Model confidence
56.0%
Völsungur has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.20/1.60
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20