Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fylkir · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3
Völsungur are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Fylkir are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Fylkir hold a 24.8-point power-rating edge (34.9 v 59.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.0% in the 1. Deild, while Fylkir holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fylkir
Probability
66.0%
Model confidence
66.0%
Fylkir has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80