GGOALVIO

Albania · Superliga · 9/14/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Vllaznia Shkodër are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Partizani are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Partizani hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (54.1 v 60.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.4% in the Superliga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.4%

Model confidence

44.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vllaznia ShkodërDWWLD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PartizaniWDLWL

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Vllaznia ShkodërPartizani
37.7Attack45.6
67.5Defence73.7
52.6Form57.9
54.1Power60.4
0.63xG0.82
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