GGOALVIO

Albania · Superliga · 10/11/2026, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dinamo Tirana · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 0-2 (12%), 0-1 (12%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Vllaznia Shkodër 1-0 Dinamo Tirana

Original prediction

Dinamo Tirana

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.2827.5%22.5%-5.0 pts
Draw3.1428.7%25.6%-3.0 pts
Away2.0543.9%51.9%8.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

8.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.0–212%
  2. 2.0–112%
  3. 3.1–112%

Predicted outcome

Dinamo Tirana

Probability

51.9%

Model confidence

51.9%

Dinamo Tirana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vllaznia ShkodërLLLDD

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Dinamo TiranaWWWWW

GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Vllaznia ShkodërDinamo Tirana
25.0Attack66.7
33.3Defence66.7
8.3Form80.0
26.3Power73.1
0.81xG1.86
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