Vélez Sársfield Res.vs
Unión Santa Fe Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 4/1/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vélez Sársfield Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Vélez Sársfield Res. are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Unión Santa Fe Res. are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Vélez Sársfield Res. hold a 16.3-point power-rating edge (70.1 v 53.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.4% in the Reserve League, while Vélez Sársfield Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vélez Sársfield Res.
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
Vélez Sársfield Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20