Vélez Sársfield Res.vs
Sarmiento Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 5/6/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vélez Sársfield Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Vélez Sársfield Res. are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Sarmiento Res. are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Vélez Sársfield Res. hold a 26.5-point power-rating edge (70.1 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.8% in the Reserve League, while Vélez Sársfield Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vélez Sársfield Res.
Probability
70.8%
Model confidence
20.8%
Vélez Sársfield Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 2 · avg 2.60/0.40
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20