GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 2/3/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vélez Sársfield Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Vélez Sársfield Res. are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Newell's Old Boys Res. are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 0 of those 2 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Vélez Sársfield Res. hold an 11.1-point power-rating edge (70.1 v 59.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.1% in the Reserve League, while Vélez Sársfield Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vélez Sársfield Res.

Probability

42.1%

Model confidence

42.1%

Vélez Sársfield Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vélez Sársfield Res.L

GF 0 · GA 1 · avg 0.00/1.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Newell's Old Boys Res.W

GF 2 · GA 0 · avg 2.00/0.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Vélez Sársfield Res.Newell's Old Boys Res.
61.1Attack44.9
79.2Defence69.6
70.8Form58.0
70.1Power59.0
1.23xG0.58
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