Vélez Sársfield Res.vs
Instituto Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 5/27/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vélez Sársfield Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Vélez Sársfield Res. are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Instituto Res. are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Vélez Sársfield Res. hold a 21.6-point power-rating edge (70.1 v 48.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.2% in the Reserve League, while Vélez Sársfield Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vélez Sársfield Res.
Probability
64.9%
Model confidence
20.2%
Vélez Sársfield Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60