Vélez Sársfield Res.vs
Gimnasia Mendoza 2
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 8/11/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vélez Sársfield Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Vélez Sársfield Res. are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Gimnasia Mendoza 2 are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Vélez Sársfield Res. hold a 22.1-point power-rating edge (69.3 v 47.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 21.0% in the Reserve League, while Vélez Sársfield Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vélez Sársfield Res.
Probability
66.1%
Model confidence
21.0%
Vélez Sársfield Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40