Vélez Sársfield Res.vs
Gimnasia La Plata Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 9/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vélez Sársfield Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Vélez Sársfield Res. 1-0 Gimnasia La Plata Res., with an exact score probability of 23%.
Prediction record
Final result
Vélez Sársfield Res. 0-0 Gimnasia La Plata Res.
Original prediction
Vélez Sársfield Res.
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.46 | 61.3% | 50.4% | -10.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.85 | 23.3% | 29.4% | 6.1 pts |
| Away | 5.79 | 15.5% | 20.2% | 4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.85 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.9 pts
Projected Score
Vélez Sársfield Res. 1–0 Gimnasia La Plata Res.
Exact score probability: 23%
Predicted outcome
Vélez Sársfield Res.
Probability
50.4%
Model confidence
50.4%
Vélez Sársfield Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80