GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 2/4/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vélez Sársfield Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Vélez Sársfield Res. are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Banfield Res. are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Vélez Sársfield Res. hold a 24.0-point power-rating edge (70.1 v 46.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 24.2% in the Reserve League, while Vélez Sársfield Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vélez Sársfield Res.

Probability

66.1%

Model confidence

24.2%

Vélez Sársfield Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vélez Sársfield Res.LWLWW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Banfield Res.LWLWD

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Vélez Sársfield Res.Banfield Res.
61.1Attack24.2
79.2Defence65.2
70.8Form40.9
70.1Power46.1
1.47xG0.31
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