Vélez Sársfield Res.vs
Argentinos Juniors Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 10/1/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vélez Sársfield Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Vélez Sársfield Res. 1-0 Argentinos Juniors Res., with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Vélez Sársfield Res. 1-1 Argentinos Juniors Res.
Original prediction
Vélez Sársfield Res.
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 17 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.60 | 55.9% | 47.2% | -8.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 25.8% | 29.4% | 3.6 pts |
| Away | 4.91 | 18.3% | 23.4% | 5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.48 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.7 pts
Projected Score
Vélez Sársfield Res. 1–0 Argentinos Juniors Res.
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Vélez Sársfield Res.
Probability
47.2%
Model confidence
47.2%
Vélez Sársfield Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 0 · avg 1.40/0.00
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40