Vålerenga Wvs
Rosenborg W
COMPLETEDNorway · Toppserien · 10/4/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vålerenga W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vålerenga W 1-1 Rosenborg W
Original prediction
Vålerenga W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 10:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.19 | 41.5% | 45.6% | 4.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.2% | 21.5% | -3.7 pts |
| Away | 2.72 | 33.3% | 32.9% | -0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.60 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Vålerenga W
Probability
45.6%
Model confidence
45.6%
Vålerenga W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 9 · avg 3.00/1.80
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40