Vålerenga IIvs
Gamle Oslo
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 1 · 9/12/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gamle Oslo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-3 (7%), 1-3 (7%), 2-4 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vålerenga II 2-1 Gamle Oslo
Original prediction
Gamle Oslo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.60 | 19.5% | 25.2% | 5.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.90 | 18.3% | 22.0% | 3.7 pts |
| Away | 1.45 | 62.1% | 52.8% | -9.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–37%
- 2.1–37%
- 3.2–46%
Predicted outcome
Gamle Oslo
Probability
52.8%
Model confidence
52.8%
Gamle Oslo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 16 · avg 3.00/3.20
GF 19 · GA 11 · avg 3.80/2.20