Vålerenga IIvs
Frigg
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 1 · 10/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Frigg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-4 (6%), 3-3 (6%), 4-4 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vålerenga II 4-1 Frigg
Original prediction
Frigg
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 September 2026 at 09:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.10 | 42.9% | 37.4% | -5.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.14 | 21.7% | 23.4% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.54 | 35.4% | 39.2% | 3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–46%
- 2.3–36%
- 3.4–46%
Predicted outcome
Frigg
Probability
39.2%
Model confidence
39.2%
Frigg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 11 · GA 14 · avg 2.20/2.80