Vålerenga IIvs
Bærum
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 1 · 9/26/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bærum · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-3 (7%), 2-4 (7%), 1-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vålerenga II 2-0 Bærum
Original prediction
Bærum
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 20:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.06 | 29.4% | 26.2% | -3.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.55 | 19.8% | 21.9% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 1.77 | 50.8% | 51.9% | 1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–37%
- 2.2–47%
- 3.1–37%
Predicted outcome
Bærum
Probability
51.9%
Model confidence
51.9%
Bærum has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Vålerenga IILWWLW
GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
BærumLLWDW
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Vålerenga IIBærum
100.0Attack97.3
0.0Defence48.0
0.0Form61.3
32.0Power65.8
2.03xG3.95