Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vlašim · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vlašim 2-1 Třinec
Original prediction
Vlašim
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.57 | 57.9% | 54.0% | -4.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.97 | 22.9% | 23.6% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 4.72 | 19.2% | 22.4% | 3.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.57 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Vlašim
Probability
54.0%
Model confidence
54.0%
Vlašim has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VlašimLWDDW
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
TřinecLWDDW
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
VlašimTřinec
55.6Attack33.3
50.0Defence44.4
33.3Form22.2
47.0Power36.1
1.85xG1.04