Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vlašim · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (12%), 2-0 (11%), 4-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vlašim 1-0 Hanácká
Original prediction
Vlašim
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.57 | 58.0% | 54.9% | -3.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.05 | 22.5% | 23.7% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 4.66 | 19.5% | 21.4% | 1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.57 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–012%
- 2.2–011%
- 3.4–010%
Predicted outcome
Vlašim
Probability
54.9%
Model confidence
54.9%
Vlašim has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VlašimWLWLL
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
HanáckáLLDDW
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
VlašimHanácká
63.3Attack30.0
53.3Defence26.7
50.0Form20.0
55.9Power29.2
3.23xG0.71