Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
VJS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
VJS 2-1 TPV
Original prediction
VJS
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.34 | 67.7% | 67.4% | -0.3 pts |
| Draw | 5.09 | 17.8% | 17.0% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 6.26 | 14.5% | 15.6% | 1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.34 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
VJS
Probability
67.4%
Model confidence
67.4%
VJS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VJSWWWWL
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
TPVWLLWL
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
VJSTPV
59.0Attack50.0
57.7Defence38.5
55.1Form38.5
58.0Power43.5
2.49xG1.14