Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rops · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
VJS are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Rops are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Rops hold a 7.8-point power-rating edge (55.9 v 63.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.0% in the Ykkönen, while Rops holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rops
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Rops has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 11 · avg 2.80/2.20
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60