Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
VJS · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0
VJS are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while KPV-j are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and VJS hold a 35.2-point power-rating edge (55.9 v 20.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.8% in the Ykkönen, while VJS holds the strongest overall chance at 87% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
VJS
Probability
86.7%
Model confidence
12.8%
VJS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40
GF 4 · GA 18 · avg 0.80/3.60