Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
VJS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
12%
MediumconfidenceVJS are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while FC jazz are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and vJS hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (54.5 v 49.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Ykkönen, favouring VJS with 11.5% confidence, a 59% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
VJS
Probability
53.9%
Model confidence
11.5%
VJS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VJSWDDDW
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
FC jazzDDDWW
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
VJSFC jazz
57.4Attack48.1
57.4Defence50.0
48.1Form46.3
54.5Power49.1
1.91xG1.13