Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
KäPa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
VJS II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while KäPa are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and KäPa hold an 18.6-point power-rating edge (54.2 v 72.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.9% in the Suomen Cup, while KäPa holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 82% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
KäPa
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
KäPa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 15 · avg 2.00/3.00
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40