GGOALVIO

Portugal · Segunda Liga · 10/10/2026, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vizela · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Vizela 0-0 Sporting CP B, with an exact score probability of 18%.

Prediction record

Final result

Vizela 0-2 Sporting CP B

Original prediction

Vizela

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 00:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.0445.2%40.6%-4.5 pts
Draw3.2528.3%30.2%1.9 pts
Away3.4826.5%29.1%2.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-4.5 pts

Projected Score

Vizela 0–0 Sporting CP B

Exact score probability: 18%

Predicted outcome

Vizela

Probability

40.6%

Model confidence

40.6%

Vizela has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

VizelaWDWWD

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Sporting CP BWLWWL

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
VizelaSporting CP B
38.9Attack44.4
77.8Defence66.7
61.1Form66.7
60.6Power61.7
1.00xG0.81
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