Vizelavs
Felgueiras 1932
COMPLETEDPortugal · Segunda Liga · 9/6/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vizela · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Vizela 1-0 Felgueiras 1932, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Vizela 1-0 Felgueiras 1932
Original prediction
Vizela
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.27 | 40.4% | 48.8% | 8.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.04 | 30.2% | 28.7% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 3.13 | 29.4% | 22.5% | -6.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.27 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.3 pts
Projected Score
Vizela 1–0 Felgueiras 1932
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Vizela
Probability
48.8%
Model confidence
48.8%
Vizela has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VizelaWDLWL
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Felgueiras 1932WDDDW
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
VizelaFelgueiras 1932
49.0Attack42.2
70.6Defence62.7
60.8Form45.1
61.6Power51.6
1.21xG0.66