Vizela U23vs
Felgueiras U23
COMPLETEDPortugal · Liga Revelação U23 · 10/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vizela U23 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vizela U23 0-2 Felgueiras U23
Original prediction
Vizela U23
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.66 | 33.9% | 42.3% | 8.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.56 | 25.4% | 26.5% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.22 | 40.7% | 31.3% | -9.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Vizela U23
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Vizela U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00