Vizela U23vs
Farense U23
COMPLETEDPortugal · Liga Revelação U23 · 9/21/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Farense U23 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vizela U23 2-0 Farense U23
Original prediction
Farense U23
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.47 | 36.4% | 34.5% | -1.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 27.7% | 27.6% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.50 | 35.9% | 37.9% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Farense U23
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Farense U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60