Vizela U19vs
Moreirense U19
COMPLETEDPortugal · Júniores U19 · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Moreirense U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vizela U19 2-2 Moreirense U19
Original prediction
Moreirense U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.69 | 33.5% | 30.5% | -3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 27.1% | 26.8% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.28 | 39.5% | 42.7% | 3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.33 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Moreirense U19
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
42.7%
Moreirense U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60