Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vittsjö W · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vittsjö W 2-2 Växjö W
Original prediction
Vittsjö W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 50.9% | 57.8% | 6.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 24.9% | 22.4% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 3.73 | 24.1% | 19.8% | -4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.62 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Vittsjö W
Probability
57.8%
Model confidence
57.8%
Vittsjö W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Vittsjö WLWLDW
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Växjö WLLLWL
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Vittsjö WVäxjö W
40.7Attack38.9
57.4Defence35.2
46.3Form31.5
49.2Power36.5
1.78xG0.88