Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vittsjö W · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Vittsjö W 2-0 Uppsala W, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Vittsjö W 5-0 Uppsala W
Original prediction
Vittsjö W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.04 | 89.0% | 78.3% | -10.7 pts |
| Draw | 10.85 | 8.6% | 15.0% | 6.4 pts |
| Away | 38.59 | 2.4% | 6.7% | 4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.04 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.7 pts
Projected Score
Vittsjö W 2–0 Uppsala W
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Vittsjö W
Probability
78.3%
Model confidence
78.3%
Vittsjö W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Vittsjö WLDWDW
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Uppsala WLLLLL
GF 1 · GA 29 · avg 0.20/5.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 5/5
Vittsjö WUppsala W
35.4Attack27.1
60.4Defence0.0
45.8Form12.5
49.8Power16.3
2.10xG0.55