Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vittsjö W · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vittsjö W 0-2 Piteå W
Original prediction
Vittsjö W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.70 | 33.4% | 47.3% | 13.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 26.9% | 25.2% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.27 | 39.7% | 27.5% | -12.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Vittsjö W
Probability
47.3%
Model confidence
47.3%
Vittsjö W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Vittsjö WLWWWD
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Piteå WLDWLD
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Vittsjö WPiteå W
43.9Attack39.4
57.6Defence50.0
48.5Form36.4
51.0Power43.4
1.46xG0.90