Vittoriosa Starsvs
Gudja United
COMPLETEDMalta · Challenge League · 9/19/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vittoriosa Stars · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vittoriosa Stars 2-0 Gudja United
Original prediction
Vittoriosa Stars
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.51 | 35.8% | 42.8% | 7.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 26.1% | 26.6% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.36 | 38.0% | 30.6% | -7.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.51 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Vittoriosa Stars
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
42.8%
Vittoriosa Stars has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40