Vittoriosa Starsvs
Attard
COMPLETEDMalta · Challenge League · 10/18/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vittoriosa Stars · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vittoriosa Stars 2-2 Attard
Original prediction
Vittoriosa Stars
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 00:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.45 | 36.7% | 42.3% | 5.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 25.9% | 26.7% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.41 | 37.3% | 31.0% | -6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.46 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Vittoriosa Stars
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Vittoriosa Stars has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40