GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/18/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vitória SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Vitória SC are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Penafiel are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Vitória SC hold a 52.6-point power-rating edge (84.2 v 31.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Vitória SC holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vitória SC

Probability

61.1%

Model confidence

61.1%

Vitória SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vitória SCWLLLW

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PenafielLWLWL

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Vitória SCPenafiel
83.3Attack53.3
83.3Defence20.0
88.9Form20.0
84.2Power31.5
3.61xG1.01
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