GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 8/1/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vitória SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Mediumconfidence

Vitória SC are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Chaves are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Vitória SC hold a 34.6-point power-rating edge (84.2 v 49.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Vitória SC holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vitória SC

Probability

69.3%

Model confidence

10.2%

Vitória SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vitória SCDWWWW

GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ChavesLWLWW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Vitória SCChaves
83.3Attack41.7
83.3Defence58.3
88.9Form50.0
84.2Power49.5
2.53xG0.96
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