Copa Espírito SantoCopa Espírito Santo
Wednesday, 1 July 2026Last updated 10:07
Vitória ES

Vitória ES

Home
L
01
Full time
Rio Branco-VN

Rio Branco-VN

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
45% confidence
Rio Branco-VN(30%)
Most likely exact score0-1
Prediction correct— Result: Rio Branco-VN
Win probability
Vitória ES
45%
Draw
26%
Rio Branco-VN
30%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Vitória ES
9
Rio Branco-VN
34
Defence
Vitória ES
27
Rio Branco-VN
91
Momentum
Vitória ES
0
Rio Branco-VN
100
Danger (xG)
Vitória ES
0.00
Rio Branco-VN
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Vitória ES)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Rio Branco-VN)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Vitória ES)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Rio Branco-VN)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Vitória ESVitória ES
LLDDL
Rio Branco-VNRio Branco-VN
W

Probability breakdown

45% confidence
Vitória ES45%
Draw26%
Rio Branco-VN30%

Vitória ES leads with 45% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Vitória ES head into this in Copa Espírito Santo fixture in mixed form (L), while Rio Branco-VN arrive in mixed form (W). Vitória ES have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Rio Branco-VN over 1 games.

The model rates Vitória ES's attack at 9/100 against a 91/100 Rio Branco-VN defence, and Rio Branco-VN's attack at 34/100 against a 27/100 Vitória ES backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Vitória ES have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 2 home games. They average 0.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per home match. Rio Branco-VN have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per away game.

Rio Branco-VN have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 1.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Rio Branco-VN to win with 45% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-1. Win probabilities: Vitória ES 4452%, Draw 2555%, Rio Branco-VN 2993%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Vitória ES 0Draws 01 Rio Branco-VN
Avg goals: 1.0
2 Jul 2026
Vitória ES
L01
Rio Branco-VN

Recent form

Vitória ES

Vitória ES

L
vs Rio Branco-VN
2 Jul 2026
01
L
@ Ipatinga
27 Jun 2026
02
D
vs Vilavelhense
23 Jun 2026
00
D
@ Porto BA
16 May 2026
00
L
@ Rio Branco ES
13 May 2026
01
Rio Branco-VN

Rio Branco-VN

W
@ Vitória ES
2 Jul 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Vitória ES vs Rio Branco-VN?

GoalVio's model predicts Rio Branco-VN to win with 45% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Vitória ES vs Rio Branco-VN?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.

Will both teams score in Vitória ES vs Rio Branco-VN?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Vitória ES vs Rio Branco-VN?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more