Vitória ESvs
Porto BA
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 4/25/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vitória ES · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Vitória ES are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Porto BA are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Vitória ES hold a 19.2-point power-rating edge (54.0 v 34.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.3% in the Serie D, while Vitória ES holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vitória ES
Probability
65.3%
Model confidence
65.3%
Vitória ES has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40