GGOALVIO

Bulgaria · Third League - Southwest · 8/12/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Vitosha Bistritsa are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (WLL), averaging 0.67 scored and 2.33 conceded, while Chavdar Etropole are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 4.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Vitosha Bistritsa hold a 20.3-point power-rating edge (46.4 v 26.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.8% in the Third League - Southwest, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.8%

Model confidence

40.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vitosha BistritsaWLL

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.67/2.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 2/3
Chavdar EtropoleW

GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 4.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Vitosha BistritsaChavdar Etropole
24.3Attack16.7
68.5Defence33.3
39.6Form16.7
46.4Power26.2
0.96xG0.73
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