Vitoriavs
Vasco DA Gama
COMPLETEDBrazil · Copa Do Brasil · 9/3/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vasco DA Gama · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vitoria 0-2 Vasco DA Gama
Original prediction
Vasco DA Gama
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.30 | 40.8% | 34.0% | -6.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 29.4% | 29.3% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.14 | 29.9% | 36.7% | 6.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.14 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–113%
Predicted outcome
Vasco DA Gama
Probability
36.7%
Model confidence
36.7%
Vasco DA Gama has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80