GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie B · 4/16/2023, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vitoria · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Vitoria are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Ponte Preta are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 0 of those 3 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Vitoria hold a 32.7-point power-rating edge (60.8 v 28.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.3% in the Serie B, while Vitoria holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vitoria

Probability

75.3%

Model confidence

75.3%

Vitoria has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

VitoriaL

GF 0 · GA 2 · avg 0.00/2.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Ponte PretaLW

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 0/2O2.5 1/2
VitoriaPonte Preta
43.9Attack23.8
72.8Defence34.9
63.2Form14.3
60.8Power28.1
2.04xG0.32
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