Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vitoria · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Vitoria are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.67 conceded, while Londrina are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Vitoria hold an 18.9-point power-rating edge (60.8 v 41.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.8% in the Serie B, while Vitoria holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vitoria
Probability
55.8%
Model confidence
55.8%
Vitoria has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.67
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/2.33