GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/6/2025, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Defensa Y Justicia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Vitoria are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Defensa Y Justicia are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Defensa Y Justicia hold a 19.5-point power-rating edge (45.6 v 65.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Defensa Y Justicia holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Defensa Y Justicia

Probability

39.6%

Model confidence

39.6%

Defensa Y Justicia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

VitoriaLDLDW

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Defensa Y JusticiaLLLDD

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
VitoriaDefensa Y Justicia
16.7Attack58.3
77.8Defence61.1
33.3Form72.2
45.6Power65.1
0.75xG1.10
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