Vitoriavs
Cerro Largo
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/24/2025, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vitoria · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Vitoria are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Cerro Largo are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Vitoria hold a 30.2-point power-rating edge (45.6 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.7% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Vitoria holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vitoria
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
Vitoria has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60