GGOALVIO

Portugal · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D · 9/3/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Vitoria Setubal are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 2.50 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Moncarapachense are 1W-2D-0L in their last 3 (WDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 5 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Vitoria Setubal hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (67.0 v 61.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.0% in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.0%

Model confidence

43.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vitoria SetubalWW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 2.50/1.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
MoncarapachenseWDD

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 0/3
Vitoria SetubalMoncarapachense
57.7Attack37.2
73.1Defence78.2
67.9Form62.8
67.0Power61.2
0.93xG0.54
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