Vitoria Guimaraes U19vs
Porto U19
COMPLETEDPortugal · Júniores U19 · 9/5/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Porto U19 · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 1-0 Porto U19
Original prediction
Porto U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.42 | 16.6% | 29.6% | 13.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.06 | 22.1% | 26.2% | 4.1 pts |
| Away | 1.47 | 61.3% | 44.1% | -17.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Porto U19
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
44.1%
Porto U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20