Vitessevs
Jong PSV U21
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Eerste Divisie · 9/19/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vitesse · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vitesse 3-1 Jong PSV U21
Original prediction
Vitesse
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.55 | 59.6% | 50.3% | -9.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.44 | 20.9% | 22.6% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 4.73 | 19.6% | 27.1% | 7.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.55 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Vitesse
Probability
50.3%
Model confidence
50.3%
Vitesse has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60