Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vitesse · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vitesse 2-1 FC OSS
Original prediction
Vitesse
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.60 | 57.9% | 54.9% | -3.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.10 | 22.6% | 23.1% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 4.75 | 19.5% | 22.1% | 2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.60 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Vitesse
Probability
54.9%
Model confidence
54.9%
Vitesse has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VitesseWLWDL
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
FC OSSWLLLL
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
VitesseFC OSS
66.7Attack25.0
50.0Defence41.7
58.3Form25.0
57.9Power33.8
2.21xG1.12