Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vitesse · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vitesse 0-0 Comoé
Original prediction
Vitesse
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 8 October 2026 at 13:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.82 | 49.6% | 40.8% | -8.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.95 | 30.6% | 29.6% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 4.55 | 19.8% | 29.6% | 9.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.95 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Vitesse
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Vitesse has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VitesseWDL
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.67/0.67
BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
ComoéNo completed matches
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
VitesseComoé
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.35xG1.15