Vissel Kobevs
V-varen Nagasaki
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 9/6/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vissel Kobe · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 1-0 (12%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vissel Kobe 3-1 V-varen Nagasaki
Original prediction
Vissel Kobe
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.65 | 56.5% | 56.2% | -0.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 25.6% | 24.4% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 5.23 | 17.9% | 19.4% | 1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.65 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Vissel Kobe
Probability
56.2%
Model confidence
56.2%
Vissel Kobe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40