GGOALVIO

Japan · J-League Cup · 3/8/2023, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nagoya Grampus · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Vissel Kobe are 4W-0D-0L in their last 4 (WWWW), averaging 2.50 scored and 0.25 conceded, while Nagoya Grampus are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (LWW), averaging 0.67 scored and 0.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 7 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Nagoya Grampus hold a 29.1-point power-rating edge (33.1 v 62.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.0% in the J-League Cup, while Nagoya Grampus holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nagoya Grampus

Probability

52.0%

Model confidence

52.0%

Nagoya Grampus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vissel KobeWWWW

GF 10 · GA 1 · avg 2.50/0.25

BTTS 1/4O2.5 2/4
Nagoya GrampusLWW

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 0.67/0.33

BTTS 0/3O2.5 0/3
Vissel KobeNagoya Grampus
22.2Attack46.7
33.3Defence70.0
33.3Form63.3
33.1Power62.3
0.64xG1.66
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